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Tuesday, November 5, 2024, is the scheduled date of the 60th quadrennial presidential election in the United States. For a four-year term, voters will choose a president and vice president. Democratic Party member and current president Joe Biden is seeking reelection. The Republican Party's nominee for president, Donald Trump, is vying for reelection to a second, nonconsecutive term. Should Trump win, he will join Grover Cleveland as the only other president to serve two non-consecutive terms in office.

If both Biden and Trump receive nominations from their respective parties, it would be the first rematch in presidential history. Several opponents in the primary elections have also announced their candidacies for the major party nominations. The inaugural ceremony for the victor of this election is set for January 20, 2025. It will take place concurrently with the United States Senate and House of Representatives elections; numerous states will also be holding elections for state legislatures and governors.

BACKGROUND

According to Article Two of the US Constitution, a person must be a citizen by birth, be at least 35 years old, and have lived in the country for at least 14 years to be eligible to hold the office of president. A person cannot be elected president more than twice, according to the Twenty-second Amendment. Prominent contenders for the party's nomination vie for it in a sequence of primary contests that determine the delegates who will vote for the nominee at the national convention. The vice presidential running partner for each party is selected by the party's national convention. The running mate is typically chosen by the presidential nominee and confirmed by the party's delegates during the convention.

Voters cast ballots for a slate of Electoral College members in the general election held in November, which is an indirect election. The electors then choose the president and vice president directly. Election authorities in several important states have requested additional funding to expand training, recruit more staff, and enhance security due to mounting workloads and public scrutiny. This demand comes at a time when many election offices are having to deal with a rise in retirements and a deluge of requests for public records, partly due to the mistrust that the election of former President Donald Trump sows among voters. As a result of their respective candidacies in 2024, Biden and Trump have raised the possibility of a 2020 rematch, the first such contest since 1956.  Should Trump be elected, he will join Grover Cleveland as the only president to win two nonconsecutive terms of office, having done so in 1892.

The Democratic Party

Vice President Kamala Harris will serve as President Joe Biden's running mate in his reelection announcement on April 25, 2023. Republicans have therefore been more critical of Harris ever since Biden announced his decision to run for president. There were rumors in late 2021 that Biden would not run for reelection because of his low approval ratings, and some well-known Democrats (Representative Carolyn Maloney, Tim Ryan, and former Representative Joe Cunningham) publicly urged Biden not to run.

Many people are worried about Biden's age in addition to his unpopularity; at 78 years old, he was the oldest person to take office and would be 82 at the end of his first term. At the end of his second term, if re-elected, he would be 86 years old.  Seventy percent of Americans, including fifty-one percent of Democrats, think that Joe Biden shouldn't seek a second term, according to an April 2023 NBC poll. Nearly half of them claimed that his age was the reason. As per the national polling average of 538, Biden's popularity rating is at 41%, with 55% of respondents expressing disapproval. Additionally, there were rumors that Biden would run against a candidate from the progressive wing of the Democratic Party in the primaries. Following the Democrats' unexpected victory in the 2022 midterm elections, many people thought there was a greater likelihood that Biden would seek and win his party's candidacy.

Declared Candidates

Declared Major Candidates For The 2024 Democratic Party Presidential Primaries

Significant Contenders Announced For The Republican Party's Presidential Primary In 2024

Third-party And Independent Candidates

Campaign Concerns:

Immigration and border security:

According to polls, immigration and border security are two of the main concerns of prospective voters in the 2024 presidential election. There was a spike in the number of migrants entering the nation over the Mexican border in 2023 and 2024. Republican-controlled states like Texas and Florida have begun busing migrants to sanctuary areas under Democratic rule, like New York and Chicago, in reaction to the flood of migrants. According to Donald Trump's campaign statements, if won, he would finish building the southern border wall, send the US military to the border, boost ICE detentions, deputize local law enforcement to handle border security and increase money for Customs and Border Patrol. A strategy of granting temporary protections to migrants from specific nations, including Venezuela, Ukraine, Nicaragua, Cuba, and Haiti, has been implemented by the Biden administration. If federal action is not taken to safeguard the border, Robert Kennedy Jr. has declared his support for state-led border security measures.

Financial concerns:

Economic concerns are frequently mentioned by voters as their top concern for the 2024 election. Significant economic repercussions from the COVID-19 outbreak are expected to last until 2024. A supply-chain breakdown and the epidemic combined to generate a period of high inflation in 2021, which was further intensified by the economic fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Since late 2021, surveys of public opinion regarding Biden's management of the economy have been consistently negative.

Following the pandemic, women were disproportionately impacted by the economic downturn, especially those who had to take time off work to take care of their families. In an attempt to improve parents' financial circumstances, temporary childcare policies were enacted, such as an increased child tax credit included in the American Rescue Plan. However, these policies would expire before the 2024 election.

Abortion:

It is anticipated that access to abortion will be a major focus of the campaign. This is the first presidential election that has taken place following two significant court decisions that impacted the availability of abortion. The first is the 2022 Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization ruling, in which the US Supreme Court reversed Roe v. Wade and gave the states complete control over abortion laws, including prohibitions on the procedure. In the second case, 2023 Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine v. U.S. Food and Drug Administration, a federal judge in northwest Texas reversed the FDA's 2000 clearance of mifepristone, a decision that, if maintained by higher courts, could result in the drug's removal from the market. Republican lawmakers and officials have firmly backed both verdicts.

Republicans usually support severely restricting the legality of abortion, whereas Democrats are primarily in favor of viewing access to abortion as a right. By April 2023, abortion was "largely illegal" in much of the US due to the nearly complete prohibitions enacted by the majority of Republican-controlled states. The Kaiser Family Foundation reports that 15 states have early-stage abortion laws that are de jure and do not allow for exceptions for rape or incest.

Democracy:

It is anticipated that Joe Biden will portray the election as a struggle for democracy, echoing his description of modern geopolitics as "the struggle between democracy and autocracy." Democratic principles and "a battle for the soul of our nation" were highlighted by Biden in his 2020 campaign speech, and he has continued to employ these themes in his speech ever since.

The media has attacked Donald Trump's 2024 campaign for making statements that seem more and more aggressive and authoritarian, which some people think the campaign is purposefully veering toward. Concerns have been raised about the state of democracy in America due to Trump's prior remarks suggesting he can "terminate" the Constitution to overturn his election loss, his claim that he would only become a dictator on "day one" of his presidency, and not after, his pledge to use the Justice Department to pursue his political enemies, attempts to overturn the 2020 US presidential election, [Republican efforts to restrict voting after the 2020 election, and Trump's irrational predictions of vote fraud in the 2024 election.

In 2024, democracy is predicted to be a major topic of discussion. 62% of individuals in an AP-NORC survey of 1,074 adults between November 30, 2023, and December 4, 2023, stated that democracy might be in jeopardy based on the outcome of the upcoming election.

Foreign policy:

The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas, as well as Russia's incursion into Ukraine, are anticipated to be major election topics.

Throughout Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the US has significantly aided Ukraine militarily and humanitarianly. This idea has received backing from both Democratic and a sizable number of Republican lawmakers, who contend that the US must play a major role in "defending democracy and fighting Russian aggression." Certain contenders, including Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis, contend that the United States shouldn't have a major interest in Ukraine and should keep its action against Russia limited. Vivek Ramaswamy would acknowledge Russian-annexed territory and is in support of terminating American military assistance to Ukraine.

Biden declared "unequivocal" military support for Israel during the Israel-Hamas conflict and denounced the conduct of Hamas and other Palestinian militants as terrorist acts. Biden has asked Congress for $10.6 billion in aid for Israel. Kennedy proclaimed his support for aiding Israel while denouncing the attacks by Hamas on Israeli citizens. 74% of Jewish voters say they agree with Joe Biden's stance on Israel. According to polls, Biden's backing of Israel has significantly weakened Muslim support for Democrats. Surveys have shown that the general people and elites, who have largely sided with Israel in the Israel-Hamas conflict, have quite different perspectives on the conflict. The majority of Americans think that rather than taking a side in the Israel-Palestine dispute, the US "should be a neutral mediator" and are against providing military support to Israel. Of those who voted between the ages of 18 and 34, 66 percent disapprove and 20 percent approve of Israel's actions during the war, with the majority primarily siding with the Palestinians.

Education:

Education is seen by several Republican contenders and aspiring candidates as a winning campaign subject. Many jurisdictions have passed legislation prohibiting the teaching of critical race theory, an academic field that studies racial inequalities. Talks regarding racial identity are inappropriate in a school setting, according to the measure's proponents. Laws prohibiting critical race theory are criticized for allegedly whitewashing American history and serving as memory laws that alter public perceptions of American history.

LGBT rights:

The rights of LGBT individuals, particularly transgender people, have been restricted by a huge and increasing number of measures sponsored by conservative legislators in state legislatures in recent years.

As president, Biden supported and signed the historic Respect for Marriage Act, which was created to protect marriages between people of different races and genders. Furthermore, he has devoted his presidency to pressuring Congress to enact the Equality Act, a piece of legislation that would expand the protections provided by the Civil Rights Act of 1964 to include protections for gender identity and sexual orientation in a variety of contexts, including the workplace, housing market, and health care industry. In 2023, Biden gave the federal government instructions to give states recommendations on how to improve LGBT community members' access to resources for suicide prevention and healthcare.

Donald Trump asserted in a February 2023 campaign speech that if reelected, he would pass legislation recognizing only two genders, that "the radical left" invented the idea of transgender identity, and that he would implement almost a dozen laws that would specifically target transgender Americans. As Florida's governor, Ron DeSantis has signed several anti-LGBT laws. Among them is the contentious Florida Parental Rights in Education Act, also known as the "Don't Say Gay" law since it forbids discussing gender identity and sexual orientation in public schools.

Healthcare issues:

Trump has declared that one of the main issues in the 2024 election would be the repeal of the Affordable Care Act or Obamacare. The COVID-19 pandemic and drug policy issues, such as whether or not the US should switch to a universal healthcare system, are anticipated to be major factors in the 2024 presidential election. Kennedy made an effort to soften his anti-vaccine stance before the election, according to Deseret News. He said that he is not against all vaccines and that "all I'm saying" is that "let's test [vaccines] the way we test other medicines." That doesn't seem irrational. The universal health care agenda is what West is running on.

Previous Polls:

Donald Trump versus Joe Biden versus Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump